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There is a problem at the heart of institutional natural capital investment that almost nobody talks about directly. It is not the policy environment, though that is complex. It is not the absence of institutional appetite, though that has taken…
Spring 2026
Spring 2026
Spring 2026
The most valuable model I’ve ever built doesn’t run on GPUs. It runs on soil data, species surveys, LiDAR scans, carbon pricing curves, and five years of proprietary field intelligence across 50,000 acres — and it has already underwritten the…
Spring 2026
There is not a single listed natural capital vehicle anywhere in the world that hasn’t seen its value compressed by premature public market exposure—and the reason has almost nothing to do with the underlying assets. It has everything to do…
Spring 2026
Some of the UK’s largest and most economically important balance sheets are already materially exposed to climate and nature-related risk. This is not a future scenario and not a niche issue confined to a handful of high-emitting industries. It is…
Spring 2026
We are living in the most exciting moment in the history of the digital economy. Thinking machines are no longer experimental tools on the edges of society—they are increasingly operating the world around us, shaping markets, optimising systems, allocating capital,…
Winter 2026
Winter 2026
Winter 2026
The UK has already built a functioning natural capital market, while most countries are still debating whether one is possible. Without much fanfare or that much ideological theatre, the UK has built the world’s most advanced operating system for natural…
Winter 2026
“Global ecosystem degradation and collapse threaten UK national security and prosperity.” – UK Government, Global biodiversity loss, ecosystem collapse and national security This is not environmental policy. It is strategic risk assessment. The UK Government’s report is sober, well-evidenced and…
Winter 2026
As this piece is published, I am walking onto a stage to make the case that the voluntary carbon market has experienced is not a collapse, but a correction. Critically, it has moved out of its first, improvised phase of…
Winter 2026
